/
Fraud Prevention
Sep 4, 2025

Return Fraud Exposed: Detect and Defend Against a $103 Billion Threat

Tom-Chris Emewulu
Marketing Lead, Chargeflow
This is a h2 title that comes out of the rich text automatically.

Chargebacks?
No longer your problem.

Recover 4x more chargebacks and prevent up to 90% of incoming ones, powered by AI and a global network of 15,000 merchants.

250+ reviews
No credit card needed.
TL;DR:

Uncover 15 eCommerce return fraud scams costing $103B in 2024. Learn to spot red flags and use AI-driven strategies, like predictive models cutting returns by 13%, to stop fraud and chargebacks while protecting profits.

Did you know that fraudulent returns cost retailers $103 billion in 2024? Fraudsters are exploiting merchants' return policies, turning customer-friendly policies into opportunities for profit.

According to the National Retail Federation and Happy Returns, consumers returned ~$890 billion worth of merchandise in 2024. That represents 16.9% of total retail sales, with $362 billion, or 24.5% coming from online transactions.

Fraudulent returns don't just drain revenue. They skew the data behind inventory, logistics, and product planning. That leaves merchants walking a fine line: keep policies customer-friendly without opening the door to abuse.

This guide will help you navigate the challenges. You'll learn to spot return fraud red flags and implement proven strategies to safeguard revenue without compromising customer experience.

Unmasking Return Fraud

If you’re new to the industry, you may be wondering: What exactly is return fraud?

At its core, return fraud is the deliberate abuse of a retailer's return policy for monetary gain through deceptive means. Unlike legitimate returns, where customers genuinely want to exchange or refund an unwanted or defective item, return fraud is an intentional manipulation to exploit a merchant’s system.

What makes return fraud particularly damaging? It's how closely it resembles legitimate customer behavior. Fraudsters often blend in with honest buyers. That makes their actions difficult to distinguish without the appropriate safeguards in place.

Screenshot showing % of people who abuse or exploit returns (Source: NRF)

Many businesses lose millions to this post-transaction abuse before realizing that fraud is even occurring.

14 Types of Return Fraud Every eCommerce Business Should Know

Return fraud isn't just one scam. It's an entire ecosystem of deceptive tactics. Each scheme has distinct signatures, target industries, and damage potential.

Understanding these patterns helps you identify potential issues before they cause harm.

Customer-Driven Return Fraud

1. Wardrobing (Rent-a-Return): Buy it, use it, return it. Customers purchase items with zero intention of ever keeping them. Frequently targeted merchandise includes designer dresses for events, expensive cameras for vacations, or power tools for one-time projects.

  1. Red Flags: Missing tags, subtle wear, incomplete packaging, and returns right after weekends or holidays.
  2. Industries: Fashion, electronics, sporting goods, jewelry.

2. False Delivery Claims: Fraudster claims they never got their package when they absolutely did. Item not received schemes have exploded with eCommerce growth and represent one of the fastest-growing vectors.

  1. Red Flags: Claims from addresses with a successful delivery history, reports filed immediately after delivery, and customers who never contact shipping carriers.
  2. Industries: All eCommerce, especially electronics and beauty products.

3. Serial Returning: Professional returners who abuse generous policies by consistently returning 50%+ of purchases, often using emotional manipulation or false complaints.

  1. Red Flags: Extremely high return rates, multiple customer service contacts, a pattern of returns just before policy deadlines.
  2. Industries: Online fashion, marketplaces, subscription services.

Organized Retail Crime

4. Counterfeit Swaps: The Perpetrator buys the real deal but returns a convincing but fake merchandise. For example, the fraudster may purchase authentic luxury items but return masterful counterfeits or cheaper substitutes.

  1. Red Flags: Return of high-value items, packaging that looks "off," and weight discrepancies.
  2. Industries: Luxury goods, high-end cosmetics, premium electronics.

5. Component Stripping: Return electronics with valuable parts removed (such as processors, memory, or graphics cards), while claiming the product is intact.

  1. Red Flags: Electronics return with broken seals, unusual weight, and performance issues during testing.
  2. Industries: Consumer electronics, computer hardware, gaming systems.

6. Stolen Merchandise Returns: Steal products, then "return" them for cash or store credit. This often involves organized retail crime rings using stolen goods as a money-laundering operation.

  1. Red Flags: Returns without receipts, nervous behavior, multiple returns of identical items, and fake IDs.
  2. Industries: Online pharmacies, department stores.

7. Empty Box Returns: Return packages with bricks, worthless items, or nothing at all while claiming the original content is intact.

  1. Red Flags: Weight discrepancies, packages that sound different when shaken, and multiple reports from the same customer.
  2. Industries: High-value electronics, luxury items.

8. Receipt Manipulation: Use stolen, forged, or AI-generated/digitally altered receipts to return items never purchased, or exploit receipt-free return policies with stolen merchandise.

  1. Red Flags: Faded or suspicious-looking receipts, returns that don't match purchase patterns, and multiple receipt-free returns.
  2. Industries: Grocery chains, electronics retailers, department stores.

Policy Exploitation

9. Returns Arbitrage: Buy items on sale or from discount retailers, then return them to premium stores at full price for profit.

  1. Red Flags: Returns of sale items at full price, timing around promotional periods, or bulk returns.
  2. Industries: Electronics, home goods, fashion chains.

10. Price Tag Switching: Swap price tags or alter barcodes before purchase, then return at the "original" higher price for instant profit.

  1. Red Flags: Damaged or misaligned price tags, returns with unusual profit margins, or barcode inconsistencies.
  2. Industries: Department stores, electronics retailers, home improvement stores.

11. Timing Exploitation: Game seasonal pricing by buying items when they are cheap and returning during peak-price periods, or abusing extended holiday return windows.

  1. Red Flags: Returns that spike during price increases, or off-season returns of seasonal items.
  2. Industries: Fashion, electronics, seasonal goods retailers.

Digital and Policy Exploitation

12. Digital Product Fraud: Purchase software, games, or digital content, claim it doesn't work while keeping the license keys or downloads.

  1. Red Flags: Immediate refund request after download, or technical complaints that don't match common issues.
    Industries
    : Software companies, gaming platforms, digital content providers.

13. Gift Card Laundering: Convert fraudulent returns into untraceable gift cards, then sell them or make additional purchases to further obscure the paper trail.

  1. Red Flags: Requests for gift card refunds on cash purchases, or bulk gift card purchases followed by returns.
  2. Industries: Any retailer offering gift card refund options.

The Inside Job

14. Employee-Assisted Fraud: Staff members process fraudulent returns for accomplices or themselves, bypassing normal verification procedures and approval processes.

  1. Red Flags: Returns processed by specific employees, after-hours return processing, or override patterns.
  2. Industries: Any retailer with employee return processing access.

Stopping return fraud requires smart defenses that protect margins without frustrating your customer base. Let’s discuss key strategies to protect your revenue during peak sales and increased fraud attempts.

Advanced Return Fraud Detection and Prevention Strategies

Most merchants focus on basic refund policy tweaks and receipt requirements. But sophisticated fraudsters have evolved far beyond these rudimentary defenses.

Here's how to build truly effective protection systems that address the complex reality of modern return fraud...and the chargeback avalanche that follows.

Five Return Fraud Detection Frameworks

1) Cross-Channel Fraud Mapping

Fraudsters move between online and offline touchpoints. Connect your data to uncover suspicious eCommerce fraud patterns:

  • Online purchases returned in-store
  • Gift card activity linked to large returns
  • Customer service interactions that precede repeat abuse

💡Tip: Build risk profiles that track behavioral changes over time. A shopper who suddenly shifts from buying low-value apparel to returning high-ticket electronics should be flagged.

2) Predictive Fraud Modeling

Machine learning can detect fraud before returns occur. Models analyze:

  • Purchase timing and product combinations
  • Device fingerprints and delivery addresses
  • Communication styles and browsing history

📌Impact: eCommerce retailers using predictive models have cut return rates by up to 13%, according to industry studies.

3) Social Engineering & Communication Monitoring

Fraudsters often manipulate staff by exploiting customer service scripts or policies. Warning signs include:

  • Customers citing policy language verbatim
  • Unusual familiarity with internal procedures
  • Immediate escalations to managers
  • Vague or evasive answers when asked for details

💡Tip: Train staff to recognize these red flags and escalate suspicious cases to fraud teams.

4) Digital Tracing

Every fraudster leaves digital breadcrumbs. Cross-check customer data for inconsistencies:

  • Temporary emails or disposable phone numbers
  • VPN or proxy use masks true locations
  • Social Media profiles that don't match purchase information

💡Tip: None of these signals proves fraud alone, but layered together, they justify closer review.

5) Return Pattern & Inventory Analysis

Fraud detection isn't just about signal transactions. It's about spotting trends:

  • Identify products with unusually high return rates
  • Inspect returned items for signs of tampering, wear, or substitution
  • Automate alerts for thresholds like:
  • More than 3 returns in a month
  • Return rate above 50% of purchases
  • High-value returns during promotional periods

💡Tip: Customize thresholds by customer segment to avoid penalizing legitimate high-volume buyers.

Screenshot showing % people who purchase an item with plans to return (Source: NRF)

Now that we’ve covered detection, let’s explore advanced prevention strategies.

Five Strategic Return Fraud Countermeasures

1) Dynamic Policy Enforcement

Types of fraud addressed include: serial returns, false claims, and returns of stolen goods. To apply this:

  • Replace static rules with risk-based enforcement.
  • High-risk customers: shorter return windows, extra ID checks, mandatory inspections.
  • Low-risk customers: streamlined refunds and minimal friction.
  • Industry Example: A fashion retailer flags repeat wardrobing behavior and requires in-store inspections before issuing refunds.

2) Behavioral Intervention Points

Fraud types addressed: wardrobing, false claims, serial engineering abuse. How to deploy:

  • Add targeted friction where fraud risk is highest:
  • Mandatory photos for damage claims
  • Cooling-off periods for serial returners
  • Extra verification for high-value items
  • Industry Example: An electronics brand requires condition photos and serial numbers before approving online return requests.

3) Product-Specific Countermeasures

Fraud types addressed: counterfeit/substituted returns, component theft, wardrobing. To apply this:

  • Customize defenses by product line:
  • Electronics: serialization, component verification, tamper seals.
  • Luxury goods: RFID/NFC tags, authenticity checks, permanent markers.
  • Apparel: wear-detection tags, return condition documentation.
  • Industry Example: A luxury retailer logs unique serials on handbags, making counterfeit swaps immediately detectable.

4) Proactive Customer Communication

Fraud types addressed: false claims, policy abuse, social engineering. To apply this:

  • Contact customers before suspicious returns escalate:
    1. "How's your experience with your recent purchase?"
    2. Personalized outreach for accounts with sudden return spikes.
  • This shows genuine care while signaling that fraud is being monitored.

5) Data-Driven Return Analytics

Fraud types addressed: All categories. To apply this:

  • Use return data as a predictive tool:
    1. Identify SKUs with unusually high fraud-linked return rates.
    2. Correlate suspicious return clusters with promo periods or specific locations.
    3. Feed this intelligence into fraud probability models for proactive blocking.
  • Industry Example: A retailer integrates inventory data with return analytics, uncovering that certain high-value electronics were consistently swapped for fakes, leading to stricter checks on those SKUs.

Why Stopping Return Fraud Creates Chargeback Risk

Merchants miss a critical truth. Return fraud and chargeback fraud are two sides of the same coin.

When fraudsters can't succeed with return scams, they pivot to chargebacks. And when return policies become too restrictive, even legitimate customers see chargeback as the easier resolution path.

The Return Fraud Evolution Cycle

🛍️ Attempt → 🚫 Policy Resistance → 💳 Chargeback Pivot → 💣 Escalated Damage

This cycle explains why stopping return fraud is not the endgame. It often triggers the next phase of loss.

Declined returns don't just disappear. Many of them resurface as chargebacks, creating dispute fees, higher processing rates, and even account risk. At the same time, professional fraudsters test your defenses across channels: returns, chargebacks, and customer service. They try different vectors until they find the weakest link.

The Ultimate Solution: Automated Chargeback Management

Smart merchants no longer focuse on return fraud prevention. They implement comprehensive chargeback automation that addresses the entire fraud spectrum.

For instance:

When return fraudsters pivot to chargebacks (and they will), automated systems immediately generate compelling evidence packages. It also submits responses within timing windows and tracks success rates across different fraud types.

Manual chargeback management is a losing game against organized fraudsters who file dozens of disputes simultaneously. Automation levels the playing field.

Furthermore, an advanced chargeback management platform, like Chargeflow, correlates return fraud attempts with subsequent chargeback patterns. It builds comprehensive fraudster profiles that inform both prevention strategies and dispute response.

This integrated approach means your return fraud prevention and chargeback defense work together rather than operating in silos.

Final Thoughts on Return Fraud Detection and Prevention

Return fraud poses a $103 billion threat to retailers. Prevention is only the opening move in a complex game. The fraudsters who can't beat your return policies will easily shift to chargebacks. They often achieve greater success and incur higher costs for your business.

The only winning strategy is comprehensive automation that addresses the entire fraud lifecycle. Therefore, implement return fraud detection that feeds intelligence into automated chargeback response systems. This creates a unified defense that adapts faster than fraudsters can pivot their tactics.

Don't just plug holes in your return policy. Build a fortress that protects against the entire spectrum of post-transaction fraud. Because in today's environment, every prevented return fraud is a potential chargeback waiting to happen.

Your next best step isn't just better return fraud prevention. It's automated chargeback management that treats return fraud as part of a larger ecosystem requiring integrated defense strategies.

👉Start Here

SHARE THIS ARTICLE

Chargebacks?
No longer your problem.

Recover 4x more chargebacks and prevent up to 90% of incoming ones, powered by AI and a global network of 15,000 merchants.

192+ reviews
No credit card needed.
subscribe

The latest chargebacks, fraud, and ecommerce content, in your inbox. Every week.

Sign up now and never miss out the latest trends!
By providing your email you're agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Notice